As a forecaster myself, I am surprised at the number of calls you make that actually come true. China going after Hong Kong and Taiwan is actually now
Well, I ran a construction management company in Taiwan. Taiwan sees itself as the rightful “all China” government for all of China (that is why there is one island, but 3 levels of government). The repatriation of the ‘renegade provinces’ remains a long term – never to be forgotten – goal of Mainland China. When (the old) Trudeau kicked Taiwan out of the UN, he set in motion the possibility of re-unification. The new Trudeau is placating China just like the old Trudeau. The real surprise? China is going after India NOW. Long-term after Africa. The west has been placated and has been kowtowing to China for 20 years. Since Trump does not, XI is taking the gloves off – for all to see. The West is now seen as fragmented and weak.